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Collector analytics

Pack & Product Value

See which Pokémon sets offer the strongest modeled value to open—and which sealed products carry the least premium over the packs and promos inside.

Single-card pricing: Sep 29, 2026. Sealed products: Sep 29, 2026.

Highest modeled opening return

Black Bolt42.1%
White Flare40.0%
Temporal Forces37.3%

Lowest sealed-product premium

Shrouded Fable-31.2%
Vivid Voltage-21.4%
Obsidian Flames-19.9%

Find a setEraSort byShow sets awaiting inputs

39 sets shown

Mega Evolution

Pitch Black

Jul 17, 2026

Above peers · low returnBelow contents value

Expected hit value$1.67per pack

Opening return27.5%Rank 10 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium29.2%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-12.1%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Pitch Black Booster Pack

$6.08

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $1.67

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Pitch Black Elite Trainer Box

$71.74

Packs: 9
Promo value: $0.79
Contents basis: $55.51
Premium: 29.2%

Fair premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Pitch Black Booster Box

$192.46

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $218.88
Premium: -12.1%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Special Illustration Rare1.25%6/6$0.79

Ultra Rare8.30%18/18$0.34

Illustration Rare11.01%11/11$0.29

Mega Hyper Rare0.09%1/1$0.13

Double Rare21.02%10/10$0.12

Modeled hit EV$1.67

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Mega Evolution

Chaos Rising

May 22, 2026

Mid-range EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$1.38per pack

Opening return24.6%Rank 19 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium27.0%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-5.9%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Chaos Rising Booster Pack

$5.63

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $1.38

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Chaos Rising Elite Trainer Box

$66.51

Packs: 9
Promo value: $1.68
Contents basis: $52.35
Premium: 27.0%

Fair premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Chaos Rising Booster Box

$190.72

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $202.68
Premium: -5.9%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Special Illustration Rare1.21%6/6$0.59

Illustration Rare10.66%11/11$0.31

Ultra Rare8.29%18/18$0.21

Mega Hyper Rare0.10%1/1$0.15

Double Rare20.30%10/10$0.13

Modeled hit EV$1.38

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Mega Evolution

Perfect Order

Mar 27, 2026

Mid-range EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$1.44per pack

Opening return24.9%Rank 18 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium33.3%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-15.7%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Perfect Order Booster Pack

$5.79

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $1.44

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Perfect Order Elite Trainer Box

$71.93

Packs: 9
Promo value: $1.86
Contents basis: $53.97
Premium: 33.3%

Fair premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Perfect Order Booster Box

$175.75

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $208.44
Premium: -15.7%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Special Illustration Rare1.23%6/6$0.58

Illustration Rare11.20%11/11$0.37

Ultra Rare8.54%18/18$0.29

Double Rare20.97%9/9$0.15

Mega Hyper Rare0.06%1/1$0.06

Modeled hit EV$1.44

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Mega Evolution

Ascended Heroes

Jan 30, 2026

High relative rank · low returnEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value$4.70per pack

Opening return36.3%Rank 4 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium23.6%above packs + promo

Booster bundle premium5.6%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Ascended Heroes Booster Pack

$12.94

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $4.70

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Ascended Heroes Elite Trainer Box

$151.29

Packs: 9
Promo value: $5.95
Contents basis: $122.41
Premium: 23.6%

Fair premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster bundle

Ascended Heroes Booster Bundle

$81.95

Packs: 6
Contents basis: $77.64
Premium: 5.6%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Special Illustration Rare1.44%22/22$2.59

Illustration Rare11.25%33/33$0.78

Mega Hyper Rare0.19%2/2$0.51

Mega Attack Rare3.47%7/7$0.48

Double Rare20.37%39/39$0.25

Ultra Rare4.81%14/14$0.09

Modeled hit EV$4.70

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Special pack treatment

1 in 2,000 packs

Ten-hit god pack

Ten random SIR or Mega Attack Rare cards.

The event is disclosed separately and is not double-counted on top of the published category rates.

Mega Evolution

Phantasmal Flames

Nov 14, 2025

Mid-range EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$3.02per pack

Opening return26.0%Rank 15 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium44.4%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-6.3%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack

$11.59

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $3.02

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Phantasmal Flames Elite Trainer Box

$153.55

Packs: 9
Promo value: $2.00
Contents basis: $106.31
Premium: 44.4%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Phantasmal Flames Booster Box

$391.05

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $417.24
Premium: -6.3%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Special Illustration Rare1.25%5/5$1.84

Illustration Rare10.97%13/13$0.54

Double Rare20.77%10/10$0.24

Ultra Rare8.06%17/17$0.21

Mega Hyper Rare0.08%1/1$0.19

Modeled hit EV$3.02

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Mega Evolution

Sep 26, 2025

Mid-range EVEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value$2.14per pack

Opening return26.4%Rank 14 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium52.1%above packs + promo

Booster box premium5.5%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Mega Evolution Booster Pack

$8.12

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.14

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Mega Evolution Elite Trainer Box [Mega Gardevoir]

$122.47

Packs: 9
Promo value: $7.43
Contents basis: $80.51
Premium: 52.1%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Mega Evolution Booster Box

$308.32

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $292.32
Premium: 5.5%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Special illustration rare0.99%10/10$0.79

Illustration rare10.89%22/22$0.63

Ultra Rare8.23%22/22$0.38

Mega Hyper Rare0.08%2/2$0.17

Double rare20.91%10/10$0.16

Modeled hit EV$2.14

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

White Flare

Jul 17, 2025

High relative rank · low returnEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value$5.68per pack

Opening return40.0%Rank 2 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium13.2%above packs + promo

Booster bundle premium8.6%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

White Flare Booster Pack

$14.20

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $5.68

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

White Flare Elite Trainer Box

$146.02

Packs: 9
Promo value: $1.22
Contents basis: $129.02
Premium: 13.2%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster bundle

White Flare Booster Bundle

$92.54

Packs: 6
Contents basis: $85.20
Premium: 8.6%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration Rare16.39%70/70$3.57

Black White Rare0.20%2/2$1.04

Special Illustration Rare1.25%7/7$0.82

Ultra Rare5.83%8/8$0.13

Double Rare21.11%6/6$0.11

Modeled hit EV$5.68

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Black Bolt

Jul 17, 2025

High relative rank · low returnEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value$6.27per pack

Opening return42.1%Rank 1 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium19.6%above packs + promo

Booster bundle premium7.9%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Black Bolt Booster Pack

$14.88

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $6.27

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Black Bolt Elite Trainer Box

$161.64

Packs: 9
Promo value: $1.27
Contents basis: $135.19
Premium: 19.6%

Fair premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster bundle

Black Bolt Booster Bundle

$96.37

Packs: 6
Contents basis: $89.28
Premium: 7.9%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration Rare16.39%69/69$3.77

Black White Rare0.20%2/2$1.24

Special Illustration Rare1.25%7/7$1.01

Double Rare21.11%6/6$0.14

Ultra Rare5.83%8/8$0.12

Modeled hit EV$6.27

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Destined Rivals

May 30, 2025

Above peers · low returnFair premium

Expected hit value$2.46per pack

Opening return27.1%Rank 11 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium36.9%above packs + promo

Booster box premium26.7%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Destined Rivals Booster Pack

$9.07

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.46

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Destined Rivals Elite Trainer Box

$118.53

Packs: 9
Promo value: $4.94
Contents basis: $86.57
Premium: 36.9%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Destined Rivals Booster Box

$413.82

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $326.52
Premium: 26.7%

Fair premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Special illustration rare1.06%11/11$1.06

Illustration rare8.29%23/23$0.87

Ultra Rare6.39%22/22$0.23

Double rare19.83%17/17$0.15

Hyper rare0.67%6/6$0.15

Modeled hit EV$2.46

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Journey Together

Mar 28, 2025

Below-average EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$1.51per pack

Opening return22.2%Rank 23 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium92.0%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-15.2%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Journey Together Booster Pack

$6.81

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $1.51

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Journey Together Elite Trainer Box

$136.50

Packs: 9
Promo value: $9.79
Contents basis: $71.08
Premium: 92.0%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Journey Together Booster Box

$207.95

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $245.16
Premium: -15.2%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration rare8.50%11/11$0.59

Special illustration rare1.16%6/6$0.53

Double rare20.29%16/16$0.18

Ultra Rare6.54%10/10$0.14

Hyper rare0.73%3/3$0.07

Modeled hit EV$1.51

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Prismatic Evolutions

Jan 17, 2025

Mid-range EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$3.78per pack

Opening return26.5%Rank 13 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium2.3%above packs + promo

Booster bundle premium-1.1%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Prismatic Evolutions Booster Pack

$14.24

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $3.78

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box

$140.15

Packs: 9
Promo value: $8.88
Contents basis: $137.04
Premium: 2.3%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster bundle

Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle

$84.49

Packs: 6
Contents basis: $85.44
Premium: -1.1%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Special illustration rare2.22%32/32$3.21

Double rare16.51%25/25$0.39

Hyper rare0.56%5/5$0.10

Ultra Rare7.46%12/12$0.05

ACE SPEC Rare4.68%6/6$0.02

Modeled hit EV$3.78

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Special pack treatment

1 in 500 packs

Three-SIR demi-god pack

Three random Special Illustration Rares.

The source reports SIR cards per pack because multi-SIR packs exist. The category EV therefore already captures the observed multi-hit effect.

1 in 2,000 packs

Eevee and Eeveelutions god pack

Eevee SIR, all Eeveelution SIRs, and an Eevee Master Ball reverse.

Shown as a separately documented tail event. It is not stacked on top of the aggregate SIR rate without a mutually exclusive source model.

Scarlet & Violet

Surging Sparks

Nov 8, 2024

Mid-range EVEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value$2.11per pack

Opening return25.0%Rank 17 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium47.0%above packs + promo

Booster box premium0.1%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Surging Sparks Booster Pack

$8.42

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.11

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Box

$121.64

Packs: 9
Promo value: $6.99
Contents basis: $82.77
Premium: 47.0%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Surging Sparks Booster Box

$303.50

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $303.12
Premium: 0.1%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Special illustration rare1.15%11/11$0.81

Illustration rare7.67%23/23$0.67

Ultra Rare6.74%21/21$0.23

Double rare16.94%18/18$0.23

Hyper rare0.53%6/6$0.10

ACE SPEC Rare5.03%8/8$0.07

Modeled hit EV$2.11

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Stellar Crown

Sep 13, 2024

Below-average EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$2.59per pack

Opening return24.4%Rank 21 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium58.8%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-19.2%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Stellar Crown Booster Pack

$10.63

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.59

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Box

$156.75

Packs: 9
Promo value: $3.07
Contents basis: $98.74
Premium: 58.8%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Stellar Crown Booster Box

$309.27

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $382.68
Premium: -19.2%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration rare7.79%13/13$1.73

Special illustration rare1.11%6/6$0.37

Double rare16.90%14/14$0.21

Ultra Rare6.75%11/11$0.20

Hyper rare0.73%2/2$0.06

ACE SPEC Rare4.94%3/3$0.02

Modeled hit EV$2.59

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Shrouded Fable

Aug 2, 2024

Above peers · low returnBelow contents value

Expected hit value$4.17per pack

Opening return28.8%Rank 9 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium-14.5%above packs + promo

Booster bundle premium-31.2%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Shrouded Fable Booster Pack

$14.45

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $4.17

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Shrouded Fable Elite Trainer Box

$112.61

Packs: 9
Promo value: $1.70
Contents basis: $131.75
Premium: -14.5%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster bundle

Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle

$59.63

Packs: 6
Contents basis: $86.70
Premium: -31.2%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration Rare7.70%15/15$2.46

Special Illustration Rare2.11%5/5$0.61

Double Rare15.57%6/6$0.37

Hyper Rare1.22%5/5$0.36

Ultra Rare6.64%10/10$0.36

Modeled hit EV$4.17

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Twilight Masquerade

May 24, 2024

High relative rank · low returnEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value$2.83per pack

Opening return30.5%Rank 6 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium23.7%above packs + promo

Booster box premium5.5%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Twilight Masquerade Booster Pack

$9.25

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.83

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Twilight Masquerade Elite Trainer Box

$104.61

Packs: 9
Promo value: $1.29
Contents basis: $84.54
Premium: 23.7%

Fair premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Twilight Masquerade Booster Box

$351.31

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $333.00
Premium: 5.5%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration rare7.73%20/20$1.29

Special illustration rare1.17%11/11$0.80

Ultra Rare6.61%21/21$0.27

ACE SPEC Rare5.06%6/6$0.24

Double rare16.93%14/14$0.18

Hyper rare0.68%6/6$0.05

Modeled hit EV$2.83

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Temporal Forces

Mar 22, 2024

High relative rank · low returnBelow contents value

Expected hit value$3.45per pack

Opening return37.3%Rank 3 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium66.5%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-6.5%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Temporal Forces Booster Pack

$9.27

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $3.45

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Temporal Forces Elite Trainer Box [Walking Wake]

$140.00

Packs: 9
Promo value: $0.63
Contents basis: $84.06
Premium: 66.5%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Temporal Forces Booster Box

$311.94

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $333.72
Premium: -6.5%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration rare7.72%22/22$2.02

Special illustration rare1.17%10/10$0.44

Ultra Rare6.67%18/18$0.40

ACE SPEC Rare5.00%7/7$0.31

Double rare16.83%15/15$0.21

Hyper rare0.72%6/6$0.08

Modeled hit EV$3.45

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Paldean Fates

Jan 26, 2024

Below-average EVFair premium

Expected hit value$6.08per pack

Opening return24.5%Rank 20 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium83.2%above packs + promo

Booster bundle premium16.4%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Paldean Fates Booster Pack

$24.84

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $6.08

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box

$433.13

Packs: 9
Promo value: $12.83
Contents basis: $236.39
Premium: 83.2%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster bundle

Paldean Fates Booster Bundle

$173.50

Packs: 6
Contents basis: $149.04
Premium: 16.4%

Fair premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Special illustration rare1.72%8/8$2.97

Shiny rare25.44%120/120$2.14

Shiny Ultra Rare7.72%12/12$0.41

Double rare15.89%10/10$0.17

Illustration rare7.22%3/3$0.17

Hyper rare1.61%6/6$0.16

Ultra Rare6.61%5/5$0.05

Modeled hit EV$6.08

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Paradox Rift

Nov 3, 2023

Above peers · low returnBelow contents value

Expected hit value$2.50per pack

Opening return29.7%Rank 7 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium76.1%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-7.2%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Paradox Rift Booster Pack

$8.43

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.50

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Paradox Rift Elite Trainer Box [Iron Valiant]

$135.18

Packs: 9
Promo value: $0.88
Contents basis: $76.75
Premium: 76.1%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Paradox Rift Booster Box

$281.76

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $303.48
Premium: -7.2%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration rare7.70%34/34$1.67

Special illustration rare2.11%15/15$0.42

Ultra Rare6.64%28/28$0.22

Double rare15.57%20/20$0.14

Hyper rare1.22%7/7$0.06

Modeled hit EV$2.50

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

151

Sep 22, 2023

Above peers · low returnBelow contents value

Expected hit value$8.58per pack

Opening return28.8%Rank 8 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium64.1%above packs + promo

Booster bundle premium-5.3%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

151 Booster Pack

$29.76

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $8.58

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

151 Elite Trainer Box

$472.41

Packs: 9
Promo value: $20.02
Contents basis: $287.86
Premium: 64.1%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster bundle

151 Booster Bundle

$169.07

Packs: 6
Contents basis: $178.56
Premium: -5.3%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration rare8.50%16/16$3.86

Special illustration rare3.11%7/7$3.40

Ultra Rare6.44%16/16$0.75

Double rare13.28%12/12$0.36

Hyper rare1.94%3/3$0.22

Modeled hit EV$8.58

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Special pack treatment

1 in 500 packs

Evolution-line demi-god pack

One complete Bulbasaur, Charmander, or Squirtle illustration evolution line.

The published rarity observations already reflect cards opened in the sample, so this event is disclosed but not added a second time.

Scarlet & Violet

Obsidian Flames

Aug 11, 2023

Low relative EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$2.46per pack

Opening return18.9%Rank 26 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium59.3%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-19.9%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Obsidian Flames Booster Pack

$13.03

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.46

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box

$274.91

Packs: 9
Promo value: $55.28
Contents basis: $172.55
Premium: 59.3%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Obsidian Flames Booster Box

$375.78

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $469.08
Premium: -19.9%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration rare7.60%12/12$1.10

Special illustration rare3.13%6/6$0.71

Hyper rare1.92%3/3$0.25

Ultra Rare6.63%12/12$0.23

Double rare13.61%21/21$0.18

Modeled hit EV$2.46

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Paldea Evolved

Jun 9, 2023

Above peers · low returnBelow contents value

Expected hit value$4.18per pack

Opening return26.9%Rank 12 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium35.7%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-15.6%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Paldea Evolved Booster Pack

$15.54

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $4.18

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Paldea Evolved Elite Trainer Box

$217.95

Packs: 9
Promo value: $20.71
Contents basis: $160.57
Premium: 35.7%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Paldea Evolved Booster Box

$472.37

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $559.44
Premium: -15.6%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration rare7.70%36/36$2.84

Special illustration rare3.17%15/15$0.80

Ultra Rare6.64%26/26$0.28

Double rare13.72%17/17$0.15

Hyper rare1.76%9/9$0.11

Modeled hit EV$4.18

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Scarlet & Violet

Mar 31, 2023

Mid-range EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$2.36per pack

Opening return25.9%Rank 16 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium50.6%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-9.6%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Scarlet & Violet Booster Pack

$9.10

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.36

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Scarlet & Violet Elite Trainer Box [Koraidon]

$130.92

Packs: 9
Promo value: $5.06
Contents basis: $86.96
Premium: 50.6%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Scarlet & Violet Booster Box

$296.19

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $327.60
Premium: -9.6%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Illustration rare7.67%24/24$1.39

Special illustration rare3.15%10/10$0.55

Ultra Rare6.57%20/20$0.21

Double rare13.76%12/12$0.11

Hyper rare1.85%6/6$0.10

Modeled hit EV$2.36

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Sword & Shield

Crown Zenith

Jan 20, 2023

High relative rank · low returnEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value$9.30per pack

Opening return36.2%Rank 5 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium14.7%above packs + promo

Booster bundle premium42.3%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Crown Zenith Booster Pack

$25.65

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $9.30

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Crown Zenith Elite Trainer Box

$305.13

Packs: 10
Promo value: $9.59
Contents basis: $266.09
Premium: 14.7%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster bundle

Crown Zenith Booster Bundle

$219.03

Packs: 6
Contents basis: $153.90
Premium: 42.3%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Galarian Gallery — Pokémon V or Trainer12.00%32/32$4.29

Galarian Gallery — Non-V Pokémon22.40%34/34$2.47

Galarian Gallery — Gold0.80%4/4$1.49

Secret Rare0.75%1/1$0.35

Normal Pokémon V12.35%17/17$0.28

Normal Pokémon VMAX or VSTAR5.30%12/12$0.18

Radiant Rare4.55%3/3$0.18

Full-Art Trainer0.95%5/5$0.06

Modeled hit EV$9.30

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Sword & Shield

Silver Tempest

Nov 11, 2022

Below-average EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$2.86per pack

Opening return19.0%Rank 25 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium36.1%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-3.5%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Silver Tempest Booster Pack

$15.05

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.86

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Silver Tempest Elite Trainer Box

$163.86

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $120.40
Premium: 36.1%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Silver Tempest Booster Box

$522.64

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $541.80
Premium: -3.5%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Alt-Art Pokémon V0.60%4/4$0.88

Trainer Gallery — V, VMAX, or Trainer3.08%17/17$0.71

Trainer Gallery — Non-V Pokémon8.25%11/11$0.39

Normal Pokémon V11.55%15/15$0.22

Trainer Gallery — Gold-and-Black VMAX0.90%2/2$0.14

Rainbow Rare1.26%14/14$0.13

Full-Art Pokémon V2.10%14/14$0.11

Normal Pokémon VMAX or VSTAR3.72%7/7$0.09

Radiant Rare4.55%3/3$0.07

Gold Rare0.94%6/6$0.07

Full-Art Trainer0.88%7/7$0.05

Modeled hit EV$2.86

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Sword & Shield

Lost Origin

Sep 9, 2022

Below-average EVEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value$4.04per pack

Opening return20.7%Rank 24 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium24.9%above packs + promo

Booster box premium4.0%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Lost Origin Booster Pack

$19.56

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $4.04

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Lost Origin Elite Trainer Box

$195.39

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $156.48
Premium: 24.9%

Fair premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Lost Origin Booster Box

$732.48

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $704.16
Premium: 4.0%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Alt-Art Pokémon V0.50%4/4$1.38

Trainer Gallery — Non-V Pokémon8.29%11/11$1.28

Trainer Gallery — V, VMAX, or Trainer3.17%17/17$0.67

Trainer Gallery — Gold-and-Black VMAX0.86%2/2$0.23

Normal Pokémon V11.63%12/12$0.11

Rainbow Rare1.28%15/15$0.10

Full-Art Pokémon V1.98%13/13$0.07

Normal Pokémon VMAX or VSTAR4.42%7/7$0.07

Radiant Rare5.01%3/3$0.05

Gold Rare0.76%6/6$0.04

Full-Art Trainer1.42%8/8$0.04

Modeled hit EV$4.04

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Sword & Shield

Pokémon GO

Jul 1, 2022

Awaiting dataEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value—per pack

Opening return—relative rank pending

ETB premium12.4%above packs + promo

Booster bundle premium—above loose-pack contents

Coverage noteA card-level pull-rate mapping has not been reviewed for this set yet.

Booster pack

Pokemon GO Booster Pack

$14.50

Packs: 1
Expected hits: —

Awaiting dataTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Pokemon GO Elite Trainer Box

$170.47

Packs: 10
Promo value: $6.69
Contents basis: $151.69
Premium: 12.4%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster bundle

Pokémon GO Booster bundle

—

Packs: 6
Contents basis: $87.00
Premium: —

Awaiting pricesTCGplayer price pending

Sword & Shield

Astral Radiance

May 27, 2022

Below-average EVEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value$2.38per pack

Opening return22.4%Rank 22 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium64.2%above packs + promo

Booster box premium7.7%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Astral Radiance Booster Pack

$10.61

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.38

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Astral Radiance Elite Trainer Box

$139.41

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $84.88
Premium: 64.2%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Astral Radiance Booster Box

$411.39

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $381.96
Premium: 7.7%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Trainer Gallery — V, VMAX, Trainer, or Gold4.10%18/18$0.80

Alt-Art Pokémon V0.74%6/6$0.60

Trainer Gallery — Non-V Pokémon8.48%12/12$0.40

Normal Pokémon V12.77%19/19$0.17

Full-Art Pokémon V2.13%15/15$0.13

Rainbow Rare1.28%18/18$0.11

Normal Pokémon VMAX or VSTAR3.47%9/9$0.09

Gold Rare0.76%9/9$0.06

Full-Art Trainer1.08%9/9$0.04

Modeled hit EV$2.38

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Sword & Shield

Brilliant Stars

Feb 25, 2022

Low relative EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$1.97per pack

Opening return11.6%Rank 31 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium16.0%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-6.2%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Brilliant Stars Booster Pack

$16.96

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $1.97

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Brilliant Stars Elite Trainer Box

$157.38

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $135.68
Premium: 16.0%

Fair premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Brilliant Stars Booster Box

$572.69

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $610.56
Premium: -6.2%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Alt-Art Pokémon V1.00%4/4$0.95

Full-Art Pokémon V2.76%11/11$0.23

Normal Pokémon V13.33%20/20$0.23

Gold Rare1.49%6/6$0.22

Rainbow Rare1.28%8/8$0.18

Normal Pokémon VSTAR1.89%4/4$0.09

Full-Art Trainer1.50%6/6$0.07

Modeled hit EV$1.97

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Sword & Shield

Fusion Strike

Nov 12, 2021

Low relative EVHigh premium

Expected hit value$2.44per pack

Opening return13.0%Rank 29 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium117.7%above packs + promo

Booster box premium43.3%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Fusion Strike Booster Pack

$18.83

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.44

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Fusion Strike Elite Trainer Box

$327.93

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $150.64
Premium: 117.7%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Fusion Strike Booster Box

$971.09

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $677.88
Premium: 43.3%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Alt-Art Pokémon VMAX0.22%3/3$1.18

Alt-Art Pokémon V0.96%5/5$0.46

Normal Pokémon VMAX3.77%8/8$0.34

Normal Pokémon V9.09%19/19$0.17

Rainbow Rare0.87%12/12$0.13

Full-Art Pokémon V1.54%8/8$0.10

Gold Rare0.83%5/5$0.04

Full-Art Trainer1.35%7/7$0.03

Modeled hit EV$2.44

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Sword & Shield

Celebrations

Oct 8, 2021

Awaiting dataEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value—per pack

Opening return—relative rank pending

ETB premium0.3%above packs + promo

Booster box premium—above loose-pack contents

Coverage noteA card-level pull-rate mapping has not been reviewed for this set yet.

Booster pack

Celebrations Booster Pack

$33.85

Packs: 1
Expected hits: —

Awaiting dataTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Celebrations Elite Trainer Box

$359.03

Packs: 10
Promo value: $19.53
Contents basis: $358.03
Premium: 0.3%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Celebrations Booster box

—

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $1,218.60
Premium: —

Awaiting pricesTCGplayer price pending

Sword & Shield

Evolving Skies

Aug 27, 2021

Low relative EVHigh premium

Expected hit value$6.12per pack

Opening return13.4%Rank 28 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium56.5%above packs + promo

Booster box premium41.0%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Evolving Skies Booster Pack

$45.52

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $6.12

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Flareon/Jolteon/Umbreon/Leafeon]

$569.90

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $364.16
Premium: 56.5%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Evolving Skies Booster Box

$2,310.75

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $1,638.72
Premium: 41.0%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Alternate-Art Pokémon VMAX0.30%6/6$2.29

Alternate-Art Pokémon V1.10%11/11$2.29

Normal Pokémon VMAX5.60%15/15$0.54

Full-Art Pokémon V or Trainer2.81%27/27$0.46

Normal Pokémon V10.56%18/18$0.24

Rainbow Rare0.84%16/16$0.23

Gold Rare0.91%12/12$0.07

Modeled hit EV$6.12

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Sword & Shield

Chilling Reign

Jun 18, 2021

Low relative EVEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value$1.39per pack

Opening return11.1%Rank 32 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium40.8%above packs + promo

Booster box premium5.8%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Chilling Reign Booster Pack

$12.52

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $1.39

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Chilling Reign Elite Trainer Box [Ice Rider Calyrex]

$140.99

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $100.16
Premium: 40.8%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Chilling Reign Booster Box

$476.95

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $450.72
Premium: 5.8%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Alt-Art Pokémon V0.68%10/10$0.55

Alt-Art Pokémon VMAX0.22%3/3$0.36

Full-Art Pokémon V2.04%16/16$0.17

Full-Art Trainer1.53%12/12$0.15

Rainbow Rare0.82%20/20$0.09

Normal Pokémon VMAX3.33%8/8$0.08

Modeled hit EV$1.39

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Sword & Shield

Battle Styles

Mar 19, 2021

Awaiting dataBelow contents value

Expected hit value—per pack

Opening return—relative rank pending

ETB premium69.2%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-15.5%above loose-pack contents

Coverage noteA card-level pull-rate mapping has not been reviewed for this set yet.

Booster pack

Battle Styles Booster Pack

$9.57

Packs: 1
Expected hits: —

Awaiting dataTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Battle Styles Elite Trainer Box [Single Strike Urshifu] (Red)

$129.54

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $76.56
Premium: 69.2%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Battle Styles Booster Box

$290.99

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $344.52
Premium: -15.5%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Sword & Shield

Shining Fates

Feb 19, 2021

Low relative EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$2.42per pack

Opening return14.7%Rank 27 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium-18.7%above packs + promo

Booster bundle premium—above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Shining Fates Booster Pack

$16.44

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $2.42

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Shining Fates Elite Trainer Box

$139.81

Packs: 10
Promo value: $7.54
Contents basis: $171.94
Premium: -18.7%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster bundle

Shining Fates Booster bundle

—

Packs: 6
Contents basis: $98.64
Premium: —

Awaiting pricesTCGplayer price pending

Audit EV calculation

Shiny Rare25.00%104/104$1.05

Shiny Rare VMAX2.56%7/7$0.62

Shiny Rare V7.14%9/9$0.19

Normal Pokémon VMAX5.26%6/6$0.13

Full-Art Trainer2.78%8/8$0.11

Amazing Rare5.26%3/3$0.11

Normal Pokémon V11.11%8/8$0.10

Rainbow Rare1.10%1/1$0.06

Shiny Vault Secret Rare0.64%2/2$0.04

Full-Art Pokémon V0.35%1/1$0.02

Modeled hit EV$2.42

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Sword & Shield

Vivid Voltage

Nov 13, 2020

Low relative EVBelow contents value

Expected hit value$1.31per pack

Opening return11.8%Rank 30 of 32 modeled sets

ETB premium51.2%above packs + promo

Booster box premium-21.4%above loose-pack contents

Booster pack

Vivid Voltage Booster Pack

$11.09

Packs: 1
Expected hits: $1.31

Relative rank pendingTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Vivid Voltage Elite Trainer Box

$134.16

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $88.72
Premium: 51.2%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Vivid Voltage Booster Box

$314.00

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $399.24
Premium: -21.4%

Below contents valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Audit EV calculation

Amazing Rare5.41%6/6$0.44

Rainbow Rare1.34%12/12$0.28

Full-Art Pokémon V2.60%13/13$0.18

Normal Pokémon VMAX4.26%6/6$0.14

Normal Pokémon V12.50%11/11$0.12

Full-Art Trainer1.40%7/7$0.11

Gold Rare1.08%6/6$0.03

Modeled hit EV$1.31

Each tier EV is the sum of card market price × stored per-pack probability. Bulk, fees, and shipping are excluded.

Sword & Shield

Champion's Path

Sep 25, 2020

Awaiting dataEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value—per pack

Opening return—relative rank pending

ETB premium4.0%above packs + promo

Booster bundle premium—above loose-pack contents

Coverage noteA card-level pull-rate mapping has not been reviewed for this set yet.

Booster pack

Champion's Path Booster Pack

$19.54

Packs: 1
Expected hits: —

Awaiting dataTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Champion's Path Elite Trainer Box

$216.12

Packs: 10
Promo value: $12.37
Contents basis: $207.77
Premium: 4.0%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster bundle

Champion's Path Booster bundle

—

Packs: 6
Contents basis: $117.24
Premium: —

Awaiting pricesTCGplayer price pending

Sword & Shield

Darkness Ablaze

Aug 14, 2020

Awaiting dataEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value—per pack

Opening return—relative rank pending

ETB premium47.4%above packs + promo

Booster box premium2.6%above loose-pack contents

Coverage noteA card-level pull-rate mapping has not been reviewed for this set yet.

Booster pack

Darkness Ablaze Booster Pack

$9.85

Packs: 1
Expected hits: —

Awaiting dataTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Darkness Ablaze Elite Trainer Box

$116.12

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $78.80
Premium: 47.4%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Darkness Ablaze Booster Box

$363.94

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $354.60
Premium: 2.6%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Sword & Shield

Rebel Clash

May 1, 2020

Awaiting dataEfficient sealed value

Expected hit value—per pack

Opening return—relative rank pending

ETB premium234.7%above packs + promo

Booster box premium9.4%above loose-pack contents

Coverage noteA card-level pull-rate mapping has not been reviewed for this set yet.

Booster pack

Rebel Clash Booster Pack

$12.28

Packs: 1
Expected hits: —

Awaiting dataTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Rebel Clash Elite Trainer Box

$328.81

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $98.24
Premium: 234.7%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Rebel Clash Booster Box

$483.63

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $442.08
Premium: 9.4%

Efficient sealed valueTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Sword & Shield

Feb 7, 2020

Awaiting dataHigh premium

Expected hit value—per pack

Opening return—relative rank pending

ETB premium91.2%above packs + promo

Booster box premium72.6%above loose-pack contents

Coverage noteA card-level pull-rate mapping has not been reviewed for this set yet.

Booster pack

Sword & Shield Booster Pack

$11.09

Packs: 1
Expected hits: —

Awaiting dataTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Elite Trainer Box

Sword & Shield Elite Trainer Box [Zacian]

$169.65

Packs: 8
Promo value: None
Contents basis: $88.72
Premium: 91.2%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Booster box

Sword & Shield Booster Box

$688.99

Packs: 36
Contents basis: $399.24
Premium: 72.6%

High premiumTCGplayer · Sep 29, 2026

Transparent by design

How the model works

Expected hit value

Sum of each modeled card's current preferred market price multiplied by its stored CCTCG per-pack pull probability. The runtime uses CCTCG's canonical pull-rate database; source links are provenance only.

Opening return

Expected hit value divided by the dated standalone TCGplayer pack market price when available. The percentage remains absolute; the descriptive badge ranks each scored set relative to the other modeled sets.

Sealed premium

Sealed product price compared with the market value of its included loose packs plus reviewed promo value when mapped.

Special packs

God-pack and demi-god-pack events are disclosed separately and are not added twice when aggregate source rates already reflect multi-hit packs.

Observed pull rates and market prices can change. Expected value is a long-run estimate, excludes unmodeled bulk and transaction costs, and is not a guarantee or investment advice.

How the model works

Expected hit value

Opening return

Sealed premium

Sealed product price compared with the market value of its included loose packs plus reviewed promo value when mapped.

Special packs

God-pack and demi-god-pack events are disclosed separately and are not added twice when aggregate source rates already reflect multi-hit packs.

Observed pull rates and market prices can change. Expected value is a long-run estimate, excludes unmodeled bulk and transaction costs, and is not a guarantee or investment advice.